The Daily Messenger Revealing that which is concealed.
December 20, at 8: This paragraph last one in chapter 2. I am quoting it because the standard story, widely believed in, is that sea level rise is going to entirely eliminate small island states such as the Maldives and impose enormous costs on low lying countries, mostly Bangladesh.
On your point about food supplies. I agree that if we had a. To get that you have loss of crop land due to sea level rise—which, byat the high end of the high emissions scenario without diking, pushes coastlines in by an average of about a hundred meters—invisibly small on a geographical scale.
So the best guess is that the net effect is an increase in food supplies but one that will be smaller than CO2 fertilization alone would produce if it turns out that the other effects are negative, which they might be. And your idea of playing safe is to prevent that from happening.
Aapje December 21, at 3: Because people mind losing what they have more than never having it in the first place.
Decision making can be fast. Implementing those decisions can take anywhere from days to centuries to never being achievable. Furthermore, some decisions are not politically feasible. Theoretically, the US could let in millions of Syrian refugees, giving them some welfare and such, with a much lower quality of life cost per citizen than is currently born by the population of Lebanon.
Timescales are super deceiving obligatory.
An example I like is the Mosul dam. People were really concerned about it failing. Until someone pointed out that the time it would take for the water to flow from the dam to the city was a couple days, and the time it would take to walk from any point in the city to safety was a couple hours.
Perhaps you mixed up Baghdad with Mosul? Secondary effects, like a lack of clean drinking water and disease could add a bunch more. Note that the current trend is to more urbanization and thus larger densely populated regions, which are much harder to evacuate than relatively low density areas like greater Mosul.Schedule - Asis Europe , Conference Sessions, Networking Events.
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